GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/16/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bahia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while America de Cali are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BahiaWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
America de CaliDDWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BahiaAmerica de Cali
0.0Attack38.1
66.7Defence71.4
16.7Form57.1
31.3Power57.9
0.79xG1.00
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