Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bahia U20 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Avaí U20 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia U20 hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Brasileiro U20 A, while Bahia U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bahia U20
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
10.2%
Bahia U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40