GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/6/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bahia de Feira are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sergipe are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia de Feira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bahia de FeiraD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
SergipeD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Bahia de FeiraSergipe
35.0Attack44.4
75.0Defence58.3
50.0Form44.4
55.0Power51.1
0.95xG0.60
View match centre →