Baglan Dragonsvs
Caerphilly Athletic
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baglan Dragons · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baglan Dragons 0-1 Caerphilly Athletic
Original prediction
Baglan Dragons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Baglan Dragons
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Baglan Dragons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Baglan DragonsWWWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Caerphilly AthleticWLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75
BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Baglan DragonsCaerphilly Athletic
33.3Attack16.7
73.3Defence41.7
66.7Form33.3
59.9Power34.3
1.72xG0.94