Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baden 6-0 Widnau
Original prediction
Baden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Baden
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Baden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BadenWLLLW
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
WidnauLDLLL
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BadenWidnau
70.0Attack26.7
43.3Defence30.0
53.3Form20.0
56.5Power28.7
3.46xG0.81