Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baden are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rotkreuz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Baden hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baden holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baden
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Baden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60