Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Baden
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Baden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BadenLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MendrisioLDDLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BadenMendrisio
70.0Attack36.7
43.3Defence50.0
53.3Form26.7
56.5Power40.1
2.40xG1.09