Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vaduz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Baden are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC Vaduz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Vaduz hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.7% in the Challenge League, while FC Vaduz holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Vaduz
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
FC Vaduz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80