BadenvsBellinzona

Baden are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Bellinzona are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bellinzona hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Challenge League, while Bellinzona holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.