Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Badalona · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Badalona are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alzira are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Badalona hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while Badalona holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Badalona
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Badalona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00