Badajozvs
Real Betis II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Badajoz 0-0 Real Betis II, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Badajoz 0-1 Real Betis II
Original prediction
Real Betis II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.7% | 31.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 30.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.2% | 38.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Badajoz 0–0 Real Betis II
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Real Betis II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60