Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich
Saturday, 13 June 202616:00Updated today
Bad Schallerbach

Bad Schallerbach

Home
W
vs
16:00
SK Vorwarts Steyr

SK Vorwarts Steyr

Away
D
Sportplatz SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach
GoalVio prediction
59% confidence
Bad Schallerbach(59%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Bad Schallerbach
59%
Draw
22%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bad Schallerbach
99
SK Vorwarts Steyr
34
Defence
Bad Schallerbach
27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
66
Momentum
Bad Schallerbach
100
SK Vorwarts Steyr
33
Danger (xG)
Bad Schallerbach
3.60
SK Vorwarts Steyr
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.59 xG for Bad Schallerbach and 1.55 xG for SK Vorwarts Steyr — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Bad Schallerbach holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Bad Schallerbach's Attack Score (99) exceeds SK Vorwarts Steyr's Defensive Stability (66), and SK Vorwarts Steyr's attack (34) similarly tests Bad Schallerbach's defence (27). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.14 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Bad Schallerbach's Attack Score (99) vs SK Vorwarts Steyr's Defensive Stability (66) and SK Vorwarts Steyr's attack (34) vs Bad Schallerbach's defence (27) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Bad Schallerbach)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (SK Vorwarts Steyr)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bad Schallerbach)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (SK Vorwarts Steyr)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bad SchallerbachBad Schallerbach
WW
SK Vorwarts SteyrSK Vorwarts Steyr
DLL

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Bad Schallerbach59%
Draw22%
SK Vorwarts Steyr19%

Bad Schallerbach leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Bad Schallerbach Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Bad Schallerbach host SK Vorwarts Steyr in Landesliga - Oberosterreich. Bad Schallerbach have recorded WLDWLW in recent matches while SK Vorwarts Steyr arrive with a run of DLLDWW. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.59 expected goals for Bad Schallerbach against 1.55 for SK Vorwarts Steyr — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Bad Schallerbach's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 59% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Bad Schallerbach have averaged 1.62 goals per game recently while SK Vorwarts Steyr have managed 1.57. Bad Schallerbach carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Bad Schallerbach win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Bad Schallerbach are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.59 projected against 1.55 for SK Vorwarts Steyr. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.04 is the clearest signal in the model that Bad Schallerbach are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Bad Schallerbach's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If SK Vorwarts Steyr defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Bad Schallerbach fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Bad Schallerbach have been conceding 1.68 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Bad Schallerbach 1Draws 00 SK Vorwarts Steyr
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
13 Jun 2026
Bad Schallerbach
W42
SK Vorwarts Steyr

Recent form

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SK Vorwarts Steyr

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bad Schallerbach vs SK Vorwarts Steyr?

GoalVio's model predicts Bad Schallerbach to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bad Schallerbach vs SK Vorwarts Steyr?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Bad Schallerbach vs SK Vorwarts Steyr?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bad Schallerbach vs SK Vorwarts Steyr?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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