Babrungasvs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Babrungas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
16.5%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20