Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Babrungas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while BFA are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the 1 Lyga, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40