GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Babrungas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Babrungas

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BabrungasDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Žalgiris IIDLDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BabrungasŽalgiris II
56.1Attack51.7
89.5Defence53.3
84.2Form51.7
77.6Power53.2
1.83xG0.73
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