GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Babrungas are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Babrungas

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BabrungasWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Žalgiris IIDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
BabrungasŽalgiris II
56.1Attack51.7
89.5Defence53.3
84.2Form51.7
77.6Power53.2
1.83xG0.73
View match centre →