Başakşehirvs
Kasımpaşa
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Başakşehir · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Başakşehir 1-1 Kasımpaşa
Original prediction
Başakşehir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 57.1% | 43.1% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 24.0% | 27.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.9% | 29.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Başakşehir
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40