UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Başakşehir

Başakşehir

Home
WW
11
Full time
Inter Turku

Inter Turku

Away
WD
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
GoalVio prediction
56% confidence
Başakşehir(56%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Başakşehir
56%
Draw
24%
Inter Turku
20%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Başakşehir
73
Inter Turku
54
Defence
Başakşehir
82
Inter Turku
66
Momentum
Başakşehir
100
Inter Turku
67
Danger (xG)
Başakşehir
1.80
Inter Turku
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Başakşehir)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Inter Turku)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Başakşehir)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Inter Turku)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
WWW
Inter TurkuInter Turku
WDWWD

Probability breakdown

56% confidence
Başakşehir56%
Draw24%
Inter Turku20%

Başakşehir leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Başakşehir head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium in decent form (WW), while Inter Turku arrive in mixed form (WD). Başakşehir have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Inter Turku over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Başakşehir (82/100) and Inter Turku (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Başakşehir have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Inter Turku have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Başakşehir and Inter Turku in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Başakşehir to win with 56% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Başakşehir 5610%, Draw 2350%, Inter Turku 2040%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Başakşehir

Başakşehir

W
@ Puskas Academy
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Red Bull Salzburg
15 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Gaziantep FK
16 May 2026
21
Inter Turku

Inter Turku

W
vs FK Sarajevo
16 Jul 2026
21
D
@ FK Sarajevo
9 Jul 2026
11
W
@ VPS
30 Jun 2026
32
W
@ Mariehamn
27 Jun 2026
20
D
vs SJK
23 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Başakşehir vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts Başakşehir to win with 56% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Inter Turku?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Başakşehir vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Başakşehir vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more