Başakşehirvs
Gaziantep FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Başakşehir · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Başakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FK
Original prediction
Başakşehir
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 56.6% | 48.6% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.7% | 26.6% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Başakşehir
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80