GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/20/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Başakşehir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Başakşehir are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Fatih Karagümrük are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Başakşehir hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Süper Lig, while Başakşehir holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Başakşehir

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaşakşehirLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Fatih KaragümrükLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BaşakşehirFatih Karagümrük
50.0Attack43.0
62.3Defence54.4
53.5Form35.1
56.1Power44.7
1.52xG0.86
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