Başakşehirvs
Fatih Karagümrük
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/20/2023, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Başakşehir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Başakşehir are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Fatih Karagümrük are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Başakşehir hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Süper Lig, while Başakşehir holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Başakşehir
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40