Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
B71 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 4-1 (10%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
B71 5-3 B36 II
Original prediction
B71
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.5% | 85.7% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.96 | 15.0% | 8.9% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 9.49 | 9.4% | 5.3% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.4–110%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
B71
Probability
85.7%
Model confidence
85.7%
B71 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
B71WWWWD
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
B36 IILLWLL
GF 11 · GA 18 · avg 2.20/3.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
B71B36 II
100.0Attack61.7
70.0Defence18.3
83.3Form38.3
81.6Power39.4
4.50xG0.93