MeistaradeildinMeistaradeildin
Tuesday, 28 July 2026Last updated 14:55
B36 Torshavn

B36 Torshavn

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W
10
Full time
AB

AB

Away
W
Gundadalur
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
B36 Torshavn(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
B36 Torshavn
41%
Draw
27%
AB
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
B36 Torshavn
73
AB
34
Defence
B36 Torshavn
66
AB
91
Momentum
B36 Torshavn
100
AB
100
Danger (xG)
B36 Torshavn
1.80
AB
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.18 xG for B36 Torshavn and 1.02 xG for AB. AB's projected xG of 1.02 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.B36 Torshavn's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.19 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — B36 Torshavn's Defensive Stability (66) and AB's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (B36 Torshavn)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (AB)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (B36 Torshavn)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (AB)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
B36 TorshavnB36 Torshavn
W
ABAB
W

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
B36 Torshavn41%
Draw27%
AB31%

B36 Torshavn leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

B36 Torshavn Narrow Edge — Model Projects 1-0

B36 Torshavn host AB in Meistaradeildin. B36 Torshavn have recorded WDLLDL in recent matches while AB arrive with a run of LWWLWL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.8 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. B36 Torshavn's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 57% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record B36 Torshavn have won 8 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk AB have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While B36 Torshavn carry the stronger underlying metrics, AB's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

B36 Torshavn have won 8 of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours B36 Torshavn, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If AB score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • AB are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • B36 Torshavn have been conceding 2.10 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

B36 Torshavn

B36 Torshavn

W
@ Skála
17 May 2026
21
AB

AB

W
@ B68
29 Jun 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win B36 Torshavn vs AB?

GoalVio's model predicts B36 Torshavn to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for B36 Torshavn vs AB?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in B36 Torshavn vs AB?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in B36 Torshavn vs AB?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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