Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-5 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
B36 II 2-4 Suduroy
Original prediction
Suduroy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 25.6% | 14.0% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.3% | 13.1% | -7.2 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 54.1% | 72.9% | 18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–58%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
B36 IILLLWL
GF 13 · GA 20 · avg 2.60/4.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SuduroyWWWLW
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
B36 IISuduroy
63.5Attack98.4
14.3Defence58.7
36.5Form69.8
38.2Power72.3
1.59xG4.50