Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
B36 II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
B36 II 5-2 NSÍ II
Original prediction
B36 II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 50.8% | 54.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.7% | 17.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.5% | 27.8% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
B36 II
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
B36 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
B36 IIWLLLL
GF 15 · GA 24 · avg 3.00/4.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NSÍ IILWLLW
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
B36 IINSÍ II
66.7Attack46.4
13.0Defence27.5
37.7Form36.2
39.3Power37.7
3.25xG2.29