Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
B36 II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ÍF II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
6.9%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20