GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Azuriz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente FSJ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente FSJ hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AzurizLDLLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente FSJLWDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AzurizIndependiente FSJ
23.3Attack11.1
63.3Defence86.1
30.0Form44.4
41.8Power50.2
0.36xG0.50
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