Azerbaijan U21vs
Gibraltar U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Azerbaijan U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Azerbaijan U21 3-0 Gibraltar U21
Original prediction
Azerbaijan U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.9% | 57.4% | -23.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.41 | 12.4% | 20.1% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 13.75 | 6.7% | 22.5% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Azerbaijan U21
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Azerbaijan U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 0 · GA 13 · avg 0.00/2.60