Azerbaijan U21vs
Czechia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Czechia U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Azerbaijan U21 1-1 Czechia U21
Original prediction
Czechia U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.69 | 8.6% | 4.9% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.52 | 16.6% | 10.5% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 1.22 | 74.9% | 84.6% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–412%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Czechia U21
Probability
84.6%
Model confidence
84.6%
Czechia U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80