GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 2 · 10/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Azazga · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Azazga 3-0 CR Béni Thour

Original prediction

Azazga

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 03:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3366.8%52.3%-14.5 pts
Draw4.0322.1%26.4%4.3 pts
Away8.0411.1%21.3%10.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Azazga

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Azazga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AzazgaLWDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CR Béni ThourWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AzazgaCR Béni Thour
33.3Attack41.7
73.3Defence33.3
53.3Form25.0
56.5Power36.6
1.39xG0.77
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