Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masr · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Azam 1-0 Masr
Original prediction
Masr
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.8% | 33.5% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.0% | 29.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.2% | 36.9% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Masr
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Masr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AzamDWLWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MasrWDDWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AzamMasr
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence77.8
33.3Form55.6
45.3Power64.6
0.99xG1.26