Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Azam · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Azam are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tabora United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Azam hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while Azam holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Azam
Probability
83.4%
Model confidence
20.3%
Azam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80