AZ Picernovs
Inter U23
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Picerno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AZ Picerno 4-1 Inter U23
Original prediction
AZ Picerno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.2% | 41.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.4% | 29.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.4% | 28.5% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
AZ Picerno
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
AZ Picerno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80