AZ Picernovs
Cosenza
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Picerno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AZ Picerno 1-2 Cosenza
Original prediction
AZ Picerno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.8% | 49.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 26.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.9% | 24.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
AZ Picerno
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
AZ Picerno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80