AZ Alkmaarvs
Tottenham
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AZ Alkmaar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tottenham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20