AZ Alkmaarvs
Sturm Graz
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/10/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AZ AlkmaarWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm GrazDWLWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AZ AlkmaarSturm Graz
58.3Attack22.2
47.2Defence50.0
50.0Form22.2
53.5Power34.5
1.98xG0.97