AZ Alkmaarvs
IF Elfsborg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AZ Alkmaar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while IF Elfsborg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20