AZ Alkmaarvs
Groningen
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 11/8/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AZ AlkmaarWLDWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GroningenWDDLL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AZ AlkmaarGroningen
85.7Attack71.4
71.4Defence38.1
90.5Form52.4
83.4Power53.8
3.15xG1.18