AZ AlkmaarvsGalatasaray

AZ Alkmaar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Galatasaray are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.