AZ AlkmaarvsFenerbahçe

AZ Alkmaar are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.5 against 51.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.