AZ Alkmaarvs
AS Roma
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/23/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AZ Alkmaar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AS Roma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80