Ayutthaya FCvs
Uthai Thani
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayutthaya FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayutthaya FC 1-2 Uthai Thani
Original prediction
Ayutthaya FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.1% | 41.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.0% | 27.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 29.9% | 30.2% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ayutthaya FC
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Ayutthaya FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40