Ayutthaya FCvs
Lamphun Warrior
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayutthaya FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayutthaya FC 0-2 Lamphun Warrior
Original prediction
Ayutthaya FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.1% | 50.6% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.5% | 24.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 24.6% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Ayutthaya FC
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Ayutthaya FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00