Ayr Utdvs
Stenhousemuir
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ayr Utd are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Stenhousemuir are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the League Cup, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ayr Utd
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.75/0.50
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/2.00