Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partick · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ayr Utd 0-0 Partick, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayr Utd 0-1 Partick
Original prediction
Partick
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.55 | 20.1% | 25.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 31.7% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.7% | 42.5% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Projected Score
Ayr Utd 0–0 Partick
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Partick
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ayr UtdDWLWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PartickWWDLW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ayr UtdPartick
33.3Attack37.0
63.3Defence88.9
40.0Form66.7
47.4Power65.9
0.55xG0.80