Ayr Utdvs
Inverness CT
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayr Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ayr Utd 0-0 Inverness CT, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayr Utd 1-3 Inverness CT
Original prediction
Ayr Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.4% | 38.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.6% | 30.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.0% | 31.2% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Ayr Utd 0–0 Inverness CT
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Ayr Utd
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ayr UtdLDLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Inverness CTLLDLD
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ayr UtdInverness CT
26.7Attack13.3
66.7Defence60.0
33.3Form20.0
44.0Power34.4
1.01xG0.73