GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ayr Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ayr Utd are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Inverness CT are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Championship, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ayr Utd

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayr UtdLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inverness CTLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ayr UtdInverness CT
50.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form33.3
68.0Power48.3
1.27xG0.84
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