League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

Home
W
20
Full time
Edinburgh City

Edinburgh City

Away
WL
Somerset Park
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Ayr Utd(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Ayr Utd
44%
Draw
35%
Edinburgh City
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ayr Utd
34
Edinburgh City
34
Defence
Ayr Utd
91
Edinburgh City
14
Momentum
Ayr Utd
100
Edinburgh City
50
Danger (xG)
Ayr Utd
0.90
Edinburgh City
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ayr Utd)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Edinburgh City)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ayr Utd)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Edinburgh City)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ayr UtdAyr Utd
WW
Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City
WLW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Ayr Utd44%
Draw35%
Edinburgh City21%

Ayr Utd leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ayr Utd head into this in League Cup fixture at Somerset Park in mixed form (W), while Edinburgh City arrive in mixed form (WL). Ayr Utd have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Edinburgh City over 2 games.

The model rates Ayr Utd's attack at 34/100 against a 14/100 Edinburgh City defence, and Edinburgh City's attack at 34/100 against a 91/100 Ayr Utd backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Ayr Utd have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Edinburgh City have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Ayr Utd and Edinburgh City in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Ayr Utd to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Ayr Utd 4355%, Draw 3500%, Edinburgh City 2145%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

W
@ Falkirk
14 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Dumbarton
30 Jun 2026
30
Edinburgh City

Edinburgh City

W
vs Alloa Athletic
14 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Falkirk
11 Jul 2026
05
W
vs Brora Rangers
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Edinburgh City?

GoalVio's model predicts Ayr Utd to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Edinburgh City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Ayr Utd vs Edinburgh City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ayr Utd vs Edinburgh City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more