GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ayr Utd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dundee Utd are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee Utd hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Championship, while Dundee Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee Utd

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayr UtdLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dundee UtdDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ayr UtdDundee Utd
50.0Attack67.6
83.3Defence78.7
66.7Form69.4
68.0Power70.5
0.71xG1.51
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