League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

Home
W
41
Full time
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

Away
L
Somerset Park
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Ayr Utd(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Ayr Utd
47%
Draw
24%
Alloa Athletic
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ayr Utd
34
Alloa Athletic
9
Defence
Ayr Utd
91
Alloa Athletic
27
Momentum
Ayr Utd
100
Alloa Athletic
0
Danger (xG)
Ayr Utd
0.90
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ayr Utd)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Alloa Athletic)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Ayr Utd)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Alloa Athletic)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ayr UtdAyr Utd
WW
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
LWWL

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Ayr Utd47%
Draw24%
Alloa Athletic29%

Ayr Utd leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ayr Utd head into this in League Cup fixture at Somerset Park in mixed form (W), while Alloa Athletic arrive in mixed form (L). Ayr Utd have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Alloa Athletic over 1 games.

The model rates Ayr Utd's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Alloa Athletic defence, and Alloa Athletic's attack at 9/100 against a 91/100 Ayr Utd backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Ayr Utd have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Alloa Athletic have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Ayr Utd and Alloa Athletic in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Ayr Utd to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Ayr Utd 4661%, Draw 2403%, Alloa Athletic 2936%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

W
@ Falkirk
14 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Dumbarton
30 Jun 2026
30
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

L
@ Edinburgh City
14 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Civil Service Strollers
23 Jun 2026
50
W
@ Stenhousemuir
16 May 2026
10
L
vs Stenhousemuir
13 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

GoalVio's model predicts Ayr Utd to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more