Ayia Napavs
Digenis Morphou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Digenis Morphou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayia Napa 2-1 Digenis Morphou
Original prediction
Digenis Morphou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.3% | 28.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.0% | 41.8% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Digenis Morphou
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Digenis Morphou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80